2019-10-05

There Are Surprising Restrictions to Pluses and Dots In Gmail Addresses

The internet has many resources (one, two, three) that mention that for receiving emails to your gmail address...
  • Everything after plus sign (+) is ignored.
  • Dots/periods (.) are ignored
  • Example: e.x.a.m.p.l.e+asdf_1234@gmail.com will deliver to example@gmail.com
Note: many websites do not accept email addresses that include a plus sign (+).

There seems to be some restrictions on dots that are not discussed very much...
  • Dots can not be consecutive; "e..xample@gmail.com" is not usable.
  • Dot can not be the first character; ".example@gmail.com" is not usable.
  • Dot can not be the last character; "example.@gmail.com" is not usable.
  • The above dot restrictions apply even after a plus sign; "example+a..b@gmail.com" is not usable.

2019-08-16

Dollar Cost Averaging Is Ill Founded And Overrated

Scope And Purpose Of This Post

Visual metaphor for DCA's inconsistency
I will argue why dollar cost averaging (DCA), where you deliberately delay investing money, is an ill-founded and logically inconsistent way to manage risk.  The superior way to manage risk is a well-chosen asset allocation.

I'm going to take some to define my terms, because people use the term DCA in different ways.  I'm not arguing against all of the different flavors of DCA, just a particular one.

I'll point to some existing great work on how DCA has been disappointing, historically, but the heart of the post is explaining on a conceptual basis why DCA is disappointing and not a coherent approach to investing.


Terminology

S/B notation: for this post, "75s/25b" is shorthand for "75% stocks, 25% bonds".  It can be shortened to "100s" for "100% stocks" and it can be extended to "70s/20b/10c" to indicate 10% cash as well.

Asset Allocation: the proportions of stocks, bonds, real estate, cash, gold, etc, that you own.  For instance, you might have a desired asset allocation of 75s/25b, or a more aggressive 100s/0b.  Your desired asset allocation should reflect the risk-and-return profile that is appropriate for you.

Cash: in investing/savings contexts, this isn't just physical dollar bills, but also very short-term interest-bearing assets, like money in a savings account, money market fund, or even 1-month treasury bills.  These are very "safe" assets in being very unlikely to lose nominal value.

Lump Sum Investing (LSI): if you receive sum money, you immediately invest it in accordance with your desired asset allocation.  For instance, you inherit $100K dollars and you immediately invest it in stocks and bonds in accordance with your desired asset allocation of 75s/25b.  The core goal of LSI is to invest earlier rather than later to get more growth out of your money and to keep your asset allocation in line with your desired risk-and-return profile.

When people say "dollar cost averaging" (DCA), they usually mean one of two things:
  • DCA1: If you receive a large sum of money, you don't do Lump Sum Investing (LSI) where you invest it all at once.  Instead, you initially keep the money as cash and invest it gradually over time, perhaps over a period of years.  The core goal of DCA1 is to invest across time to buy in at different price levels (thus the name) and to avoid investing all of your money at an unfortunate time (like a stock market peak). This is "DCA as opposed to LSI".
  • DCA2: Continuously saving and investing (like every time you get a paycheck) over the course of years.  Just keep investing, don't try to time the market and pull out of equities before a predicted stock market crash.  The core goal of DCA2 is to invest your money as you earn it and to stick with your plan even when things looks scary.  This is "DCA as opposed to market timing".
As an example of how DCA is used in different ways.  Here's two articles from Nick Maggiulli's Of Dollars And Data site:
  • How To Invest a Lump Sum, where he argues for LSI and against DCA1: "What if the market crashes right after you invest?  Wouldn’t it be better to average-in over time (i.e. dollar-cost averaging/DCA) to smooth out any unlucky timing on your part? Statistically, the answer is no."
  •  Even God Couldn’t Beat Dollar-Cost Averaging, where he argues for DCA2 and against market timing: "You have 2 investment strategies to choose from ... Dollar-cost averaging ... Buy the Dip".
So, same guy, same blog, arguing against DCA1 and for DCA2, using the same term for both.  He's a smart guy that knows what he's talking about, but readers might confuse themselves if they mentally use the same label ("DCA") when thinking about both articles.

DCA1 is what I will argue against.  I approve of DCA2, which is really just the buy-and-hold (BAH) part of the Boglehead passive investing approach.  The next section will spend some more time distinguishing DCA1 vs DCA2 so that we don't think about "dollar cost averaging" in a confused manner.

2019-08-02

Account Recovery, Insecure And Uncertain

Summary

Account recovery procedures (ex: when someone says they lost your password and/or phone) are often the easiest way for attackers to gain access to your account, and unfortunately there is very little advice on how to deal with it, other than "turn your username, email, and security answers into unique, hard-to-guess things", in other words: make everything a password.  But account recovery procedures often make that tactic useless.

Also, I am doubtful that adding extra account recovery options (recovery phone numbers, alternate emails) is a good idea for people who are using a password manager to create and store strong, unique passwords, and have taken steps to make sure they won't lose access to their password database.  Extra account recovery options are extra ways for bad guys to get into your account and are often easier than guessing your password.

Motivation And Background

The computer security field has some things about account security pretty well settled, like use 2FA and use a password manager to generate and store strong, unique passwords for your accounts.  I think one of the big remaining questions is: how should users manage the risk from account recovery procedures (when someone claims to have lost your phone and/or password).

To illustrate how bad account recovery procedures from popular account providers can be, Betfair only required a username and date of birth to change someone's password, and here's the tragic story of Mat Honan from 2012:
At 4:33 p.m., according to Apple’s tech support records, someone called AppleCare claiming to be me. Apple says the caller reported that he couldn't get into his Me.com e-mail – which, of course was my Me.com e-mail.

In response, Apple issued a temporary password. It did this despite the caller’s inability to answer security questions I had set up. And it did this after the hacker supplied only two pieces of information that anyone with an internet connection and a phone can discover....It turns out, a billing address and the last four digits of a credit card number are the only two pieces of information anyone needs to get into your iCloud account.
It also used to be that to take over an Amazon account, you only had to know was a person's name and their shipping address, and to make three calls to customer service.  You could use the name and address to find out the registered email address, then use those three things to add a phony credit card number, then use those four things to change the associated email and then trigger a password reset using the new email address..

This is extremely scary.  To continue the old Amazon example, for a long time your Amazon password (and probably 2FA if they even offered it at the time) offered no protection against someone who knew your name and physical address.  I don't really know what someone could do to guard against that.

A big part of why account recovery is insecure and will probably continue to be so for a long time is incentives faced by the account providers.  The number of legitimate customers that have lost their phones and passwords outnumber bad guys on any given day.  Businesses want to please their customers and convenience-security trade-offs are being made that are probably close to what most customers want.  The average Amazon/Apple customer does NOT wanted to be locked out of their account just because they forgot their password.

2019-02-09

ETF vs Mutual Fund (ITOT vs FZROX)

Scope And Purpose Of This Post

This post will try to help inform people about the "ETF vs mutual fund" decision, and we're going to go through some examples, most notably ITOT (ETF) vs FZROX (mutual fund).

Terminology notes:
  • Percentage points are abbreviated "pp". Percentage points are for describing absolute amounts, not relative amounts (which we use percentages for).  A tax rate increasing from 5% to 15% is an increase of 200% (relative) and is also an increase of 10pp (absolute).
  • basis points (hundredths of a percentage point) are abbreviated ‘bp’.  So 3 bp is the same as 0.03% and 0.0003



End Result For Jacob

Rule of thumb: assuming my choices are competitive, ETF (or certain Vanguard mutual funds) in taxable accounts and mutual funds in tax-advantaged accounts.

For investing in the US equity asset class, I currently purchase ITOT in my taxable account and FZROX in my Roth IRA.  I think ITOT will probably be notably better than FZROX in taxable accounts and is pretty much the same as FZROX in tax-advantaged accounts.   In tax-advantaged accounts, I go with FZROX mostly for the extra ease/convenience and making sure I don't trigger wash sales (Wiki, Fairmark, tax code).

2018-10-22

Greasemonkey Journey Notes

Scope And Purpose Of This Post

Holds my notes as I learn Greasemonkey/Javascript/XPath/CSS/HTML/FirefoxWebDevTools.

2018-10-21

Notes On How Modern Financial Markets Work

Scope And Purpose Of This Post

This post has snippets/paraphrasings of articles that get into stuff like exchanges, wholesalers, market makers, dark pools, high frequency traders, and so on.  Bullet points in quotes are article quotes.   Bullet points not in quotes are paraphrases of the article, unless I say something like "I think"/"I believe"/"I guess", which will be my own analysis.

My post The Mechanics Of How Stock Prices Change has stuff explaining basic workings of exchanges, and has an appendix about how price improvement works.

2018-09-25

Reasonable Prioritizations Of Accounts

Scope And Purpose Of This Post

This post talks about reasonable prioritizations for putting your money into various accounts (401k, IRA, HSA, tax-normal brokerage, etc).  I will try to add on to what the Bogleheads wiki and /r/PersonalFinance wiki have already said on the matter.

Sections:

A Baseline Ordering

Vanilla: exotic spice but default flavor.
To give you something notable right away, here is a reasonable ordering for putting money into various accounts if you are mostly looking to save for retirement or other long-term goals:
  • Pay down high-interest debt.
  • Build up an emergency fund (savings/checking account, able to cover 3-6 months of expenses).
  • Max out ESPP contributions and sell shares immediately.
  • Contribute to your Traditional 401k enough to get the full match from your employer.
  • Max out HSA contributions.
  • Max out Traditional 401k contributions.
  • Max out Roth IRA contributions.
  • Contribute to a taxable (normal) account.
Note: this ordering also assumes that your 401k doesn't have ridiculously high fees and that you have too much income to be eligible for making tax-deductible contributions to a Traditional IRA.

I will explain the terms/accounts and reasoning in the sections below.

2018-07-02

Dividends Vs Share Buybacks

Scope And Purpose Of This Post

This post is a work-in-progress and right now is mostly a collection of pertinent snippets/summaries of articles on the matter of dividends vs share buybacks vs other.  Some basic points:
  • Many arguments in favor of dividends are fatally flawed.
  • Many arguments made in favor of dividends are actually arguments in favor of dividends and share buybacks.
  • For individual investors, with their tax-normal investments, share buybacks are superior to dividends due to how they're taxed differently.
  • For corporate investors, dividends can be superior to share buybacks due to taxation differences.
  • For tax-advantaged accounts (401k, IRA), "share buyback vs dividend" doesn't matter.
  • The more a company is undervalued, the better share buybacks are, and the more a company is overvalued, the worse share buyback are, but it is foolish to think you know better than the market about the proper value of a company.
  • Even if a company is undervalued, a share buyback may be inappropriate if there are good investment/growth opportunities available to the company.
Some more points:
  •  A share buyback financed by debt can be thought of as a shift from equity-based financing to debt-based financing.  Interest rates are currently low and interest payments are tax-deductible (while dividends and share buyback payments are not), so this shift to debt-based financing can make a lot of sense.

2018-07-01

Thoughts And Articles On REITs

Scope And Purpose Of This Post

This post will be a perpetual work in progress, where I will share article, snippets, and my own thoughts about REITs, with a focus on "how much of my portfolio should be REITs?".  Currently my answer is "about what you already get with a total stock market index fund".

Article 1: The Role of REITs in a Diversified Portfolio

https://www.advisorperspectives.com/articles/2017/08/21/the-role-of-reits-in-a-diversified-portfolio

author: Larry Swedroe

Sam Soundar Biweekly Newsletter #8, Use Scrollwheel To Zoom Edition

Treasured Subscribers:

Sam Soundar has just published his ninth romantic comedy novel, Nception: The Unplagiarized Story Of Dream Crime.  Take a look at the following reviews.

"I was absolutely floored by the foreword, pleased with the preface, idolized the introduction, and prized the prologue.  But what about the colophon?  Oh, hoho, the colophon was only bested by the epigraph!" ~ Reginald Rolokoaster

"Nception clearly has the best table of contents and index I've seen in the last century of romantic fiction.  The glossary has no parallel in all of dramatic literature, and has convinced me to reconcile with my estranged children." ~ Gertrude Grinner

"Nception is an engrossing tale of love and human connection.  I simple could not put the book down as I read appendices C through J and their associated errata." ~ Hazel Ahaviel

"On a scale from zero to ten, I'd say it was decent." ~ Mortimer Quickpunch

Word of the biweek: putrid
Definition: decaying or rotting and emitting a fetid smell.

Example sentence: Steve and Larry, strained and strained as they tried to lift the putrid cow corpse over the chain-link fence; no one must know about their failures as pet sitters.

Your nonsensical newsletterer,
Jacob

2018-06-30

Some Ways To Think About Work, Savings, And Expenses

Scope And Purpose Of This Post

This post covers some new formulas that I came up with on my own that deal with a quantity (like the monetary value of your retirement portfolio) that experiences both exponential growth and regular contributions.  It is very unlikely I am the first to come up with these formulas, but it has been hard for me to find these formulas on the internet.  This post also covers some implications of these formulas, and some ways to think about the opportunity costs of savings and expenses, especially in terms of work until retirement.

Most notably, Example 5 tries to answer whether using a toll road increases or decreases the amount of time spent working/commuting until retirement.  The math/logic in the example can be used more generally to think about whether any expense is worth the extra work you must do to pay the expense.

You do not have to do any of the math yourself; you can make a copy of my Money Formula Demo Google Sheet and change some of the inputs.  To make a copy, go to the "File" menu at the top of the spreadsheet and select "Make a copy".

2018-06-17

Misc Math

Scope And Purpose Of This Post

This post is a grab-bag of various math things that have been useful more than once in my life, and thus publishing them on my blog might help me and others in the future.

Pretty math pictures generated by Roger's Online Equation Editor.

Sections:
  • Value Over Time With Growth And Contributions
  • ESPP Returns
  • Simple Regression Stuff
  • Mental Squaring
  • Chi Squared Distribution Test
  • Distribution Approximations
  • J-Family of Means

2018-05-25

The Mechanics Of How Stock Prices Change

Scope And Purpose Of This Post

I've had a few people ask me, "how do stock prices change?".  They do not mean how to look at a company and try to figure out what the stock price should be; they are wondering what are the little actions going on during a price change that result in a price change.  Unfortunately, if you google "how do stock prices change", you will get a bunch of pages that answer slightly different questions, or pages that stay at the vague level of supply and demand.

This post tries to explain how price changes actually happen, mostly through examples that take place on an exchange.  The most famous exchange-traded-things are stocks, ETFs, and financial derivatives (options, futures, etc), but the underlying concepts apply to more than just things on exchanges.

A related post is Notes On How Modern Financial Markets Work, which has article snippets/paraphrasings that cover exchanges and other workings of modern financial markets.

Following Sections:
  • 2 Background Info sections: will help explain a lot of concepts that I use in my examples (bids, asks, limit orders, market orders).  People familiar with such concepts might want to skip ahead to the example sections.
  • Examples {1, 2a, 2b, 3}: the heart of the post, painting detailed pictures of prices changing, with some general observations as well. 
  • Brief Recap: briefly summarizes of the ways that prices change, restating the lessons learned in the examples.  The section might be too abstractly worded if you haven't gone through the examples, but once you have, I hope the section will help quickly refresh you on how prices change.
  • Appendix A on Price Improvement: a sidenote explaining the mechanics of "price improvement" that your brokerage may boast about after a trade.  This section may be moved in the future if I ever have a post that goes into more detail about how exchanges work.

2018-05-13

Stock Market Index Reference

Purpose And Scope Of This Post

There's a lot of indices out there, and they will mislead you. The  S&P 500 is intuitive because it's basically the 500 biggest US companies, but the S&P 600 is unintuitively the 600 smallest of the 1500 biggest US companies.  The S&P 600 is also called the "S&P SmallCap 600", but by more popular definitions, it is the smallest 15% of  mid-cap stocks.  The Wilshire 5000 has 3485 companies in it.

This post tries to be a useful reference (mostly for myself) for what the heck a particular index is, how indices relate to each other, and to answer some common questions like, "what percent of the US stock market is represented by this index?".  You should think of it as a work in progress.

2018-05-11

Steps to Buy an ETF at Fidelity

Purpose And Scope Of This Post

I want to help answer the question, "How, exactly, do I buy an ETF?  What buttons do I click?  What options do I choose?   What numbers do I enter, especially for things like quantity and limit price?".  There seems to be lots of written material about how to choose an ETF and the different types of buy orders, but very little written material that tries to answer the questions in quotes above.  The best I can find is stuff like the "ETF Best Trading Practices" section of this pdf from Vanguard, which still leaves things at the abstract level of "use a limit order that is likely to be executed instantly".

This post will go, click-by-click, through the process of transferring money into a Fidelity account and submitting a buy order for an ETF.  Hopefully, this click-by-click will help make people's first time easier and less scary (especially due to clear statements of which clicks have real-world consequences).  Also, this post will give the exact logic/calculations I use for coming up with the quantities and limit prices for my buy limit orders.  The logic/calculations for quantity and limit price are applicable at all brokerages, not just Fidelity.

If you are wondering what ETF to buy, see this long post or this short post.

2018-05-02

Oversimplified Conversations About Portfolios

Scope Of This Post

Hubert Featherbottom
This post is not financial advice, and I refuse to take any responsibility for any financial ruin you experience.  Please do your own research and make your own conclusions.

This post is mostly a series of hypothetical conversations between fictional characters.  Fictional people ask the fictional Hubert Featherbottom about what sort of portfolio might make sense for them, and they want the simplest responses possible, disregarding all nuance, caveats, and even sanity.  By "portfolio", I mean "collection of financial assets (stocks, bonds, bank deposits, etc) someone owns in order to save up for particular needs and goals".

If you see a fictional person who asks questions similar to things you're wondering, you might find their conversation useful.  If you just want to save for the long-term in the simplest way, please look at the 401k section and Conversation 1.  If you're interested in mutual funds instead of ETFs, see Appendix B.

If you want a huge walls of text about saving/investing, see Starting Point For Saving And Investing.  If you want a click-by-click of how to buy an ETF, see Steps To Buy An ETF At Fidelity.

If you'd like the tables updated to include a particular broker or line of ETFs, tell me, and I'll see what I can do.

2018-04-30

Starting Point For Saving And Investing

Scope Of This Post

This post is not financial advice, and I refuse to take any responsibility for any financial ruin you experience.  Please do your own research and make your own conclusions.

This post is a list of resources I found useful and a few thoughts not present in those resources.  This post tries not to assume any knowledge of the world of saving and investing.  A lot of friends and acquaintances have questions like "how do I even start saving for retirement or a house?".  I hope this post will help those people see what their options are, and be able to evaluate those options...after reading a lot of stuff from different places.  This is just a starting point; there is so much more to be said.

If you want to yell at me "I DON'T WANT TO KNOW STUFF, JUST TELL ME A PORTFOLIO", then read the oversimplified conversations post, possibly followed up by the steps to buy an ETF post.

If you have questions like, "should I prioritize my 401k or my IRA?", then read Reasonable Prioritizations Of Accounts.

Also, be careful; there's a lot of very bad investment advice out there (ex: "These are the must-buy Chinese biotech stocks of 2018!").  I hope to provide a safe starting point for people to educate themselves, but you should read my words with a critical eye as well.

2018-03-07

Sam Soundar Biweekly Newsletter #7, Truly Desperate Effort Edition

Also, see these people.
Precious Subscribers:

I am very, very pleased to announce that Sam Soundar Secret University will add the following classes to its spring semester curriculum:
  • Classic Civilizations: Were They Just Stupid Or What?
  • Artists and Musicians: Why They Deserve Our Eternal Scorn
  • The Secret of Humor: Lists!
  • Philosophy: The Pitiful Scraps That Aren't Wrong/Useless
  • Experimental Ethics 1: Fun! Exciting! Addictive!
  • Experimental Ethics 2: Dealing With The Crushing Remorse Of What You Did In Experimental Ethics 1
  • History of Hats 8

Word of the biweek: hankering
Definition: desire
Example sentence: Late, one dreadful night in 1958 in the remote Alaskan town of Bugtussle, Steve indulged his hankering for the unique tang of antibiotics, broke into the only medical clinic for hundreds of miles, and guzzled down the town's entire supply.  Yes, he had condemned several ill townsfolk to death, but he had lived life to the fullest.

2017-12-01

Sam Soundar Biweekly Newsletter #6, Social Harmony Edition

Confucius, proponent of social harmony
Precious Subscribers:

I am utterly confident that all subscribers will emphatically disregard the recent, slanderous rumors that Sam Soundar has a wildly successful musical career under the alter-ego of Adam Levine.  I had never heard of the man, but apparently he performs as part of the musical group known as "Adam Levine and the Maroon 5".

I was able to get in contact with Matt Flynn, drummer of "Adam Levine and the Maroon 5", and in response to these dastardly rumors, he said, "Oh, surely not.  I've never seen Sam Soundar and Adam Levine in the same room at the same time, but that's perfectly explained by Adam Levine always having to make some phone calls in private just before Sam visits us.  Besides, Adam's and Sam's mannerisms are quite different, despite their oddly similar stories of their childhoods."

I also talked to to Julius Thalberg, who happens to be the legal counsel of both Sam Soundar and Adam Levine.  He said, "Yes, my two clients are definitely two different people, rather than a dear friend engaging in a frenzied double-life to boldly pursue musical and engineering endeavors who employs me to safeguard his secret.  I just can't stress enough how they are definitely not the same person.  Why do you ask and what is your home address?"

See?  It's settled.  Case closed.  'Nuff said.  All testimony and coincidences are perfectly compatible with the fact that Sam Soundar and Adam Levine are merely two people with oddly intertwined lives.

Word of the biweek: proponent
Definition: one who supports something; an advocate

Example sentence: Although Senator Steve was a reliable proponent for bold, progressive ideas, he felt a bit uneasy as he read the provisions of the "Let's Genetically Engineer Some Wolf-Shark Hybrids And Shoot Them Into Space To Intimidate Those Dang Communists Act", mostly due to concerns about cost to the taxpayer.

Your suspiciously cheerful newsletterer,
Jacob

2017-11-14

Sam Soundar Biweekly Newsletter #5, Honest Mistake Edition

[Originally distributed via some emails on 2017-11-14]

Treasured Subscribers:

The sacred year of 2017 is rapidly drawing to a close, and all eyes are on Master Alchemist Sam Soundar to complete the Elixir of Power and vanquish The Great Sleeping Horror before it awakens, but everyone can do their part to help.  If you see any of the following ingredients, please inform Master Alchemist Sam Soundar with haste:
  • Beetleberries
  • Eggs of the Hungarian Murder Toad
  • Hatefruit
  • Seeds of the bile melon
  • Bloodroot
  • A sword that has slain a child
  • A feather that has tickled a great man

DO NOT EAT THESE THINGS!

Word of the biweek: mawworm
Meaning: a mealymouthed sanctimonious hypocrite

Example sentence: For several hours, Steve lectured his congregation about the evils of flavor, but he was exposed as a mawworm when a seam ripped and several bottles of vanilla extract and fennel seeds fell out of his jacket.

Your inscrutable newsletterer,
Jacob

Sam Soundar Biweekly Newsletter #4, Candy Coated Edition

[Originally distributed via email on 2017-05-26_1650]

Cherished Subscribers:

It’s been a very long biweek since the last biweekly newsletter, approximately 1093 days.  Mathematicians and astronomers are still unsure when the next biweek will occur.  Previous newsletters are attached, free of charge.

Since the last newsletter, we’ve been very busy.  For instance, we used to only offer SPLASH alerts, straight to your smart telephone (SPLASH = Sam’s Present Location Alert System Hotdog).   We’re proud to announce the Highly Salient Sam Soundar Sickliness Status System (HSSSSSS for short) to keep you informed about the health of Sam Soundar as well.  HSSSSSS consumes a large amount of computing power, but gosh, it’s just worth it.

For instance, RIGHT NOW, I’m logging into our advanced HSSSSSS Super-Smart Server Swarm (HSSSSSSSSSS for short) and it says that currently Sam is suffering from “Database Configuration Error, please consult system administrator”.  Sam, you have our prayers and best wishes.

Currently, HSSSSSS takes about twenty servers per person.  Once we get forty more servers, we’ll be able to analyze two more people and create the Highly Salient SamSoundar SamanthaSunny SarahSlavens Sickliness Status System Super-Smart Sixty Server Swarm (HSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS for short).  The future is now!


Word of the biweek: yolo

Meaning: an acronym standing for “you oughta look out”, an expression showing a focus on prudence and caution; sometimes thought to derive from “you only live once”, referencing that your life is a scarce, precious resource, and must be vigilantly guarded.

Example sentence: Steve looked at his dear friends and said, “Guys, maybe we’re not yoloing hard enough.  Why not wear a helmet whenever we ride the bus?”.

Your relentless newsletterer and member of the HSSSSSS Society (HSSSSSSS for short),
Jacob

Sam Soundar Biweekly Newsletter #3, Bitter Resentment Edition

bitter gourd

From: Jacob Egner
Sent: Wednesday, May 28, 2014 10:57 AM
To: [people]
Subject: Sam Soundar biweekly newsletter, 2014-05-28, bitter resentment edition

Precious Subscribers:

Hopes are high and people are a hair breadth’s away from fainting with the possibility that Sam Soundar will add a second wall marker set to his whiteboard.  His existing marker-holder sits at a hefty 6,165m in altitude, just 3m lower than Mount McKinley.

Where will the new marker-holder go?  Along the left at a respectable elbow height?  Boldly smack dab in the middle?  The stakes are very high, as the betting pool now sits at 43,000 Canadian dollars.  Get in on the action while you still can, and wager some big loonies!

Word of the biweek: collywobbles
Meaning: intense anxiety or nervousness, especially with stomach queasiness.

Example sentence: Steve had a severe bout of collywobbles when he was told he had to eat every spider web in his apartment in order to save the hostages.

Remember to sign up for free SPLASH alerts, straight to your smart telephone.

Your discombobulating newsletterer,
Jacob

Sam Soundar Biweekly Newsletter #2, Nautical Edition

Original Text of Newsletter Email


From: Jacob Egner
Sent: Tuesday, April 22, 2014, 11:05 AM
To: Sam Soundar Biweekly Newsletter Distribution List, sponsored by Pepsi and Big Lasers Incorporated
Subject: Sam Soundar biweekly newsletter, 2014-04-22, nautical edition

Precious Subscribers:

Reliable sources report that Sam Soundar is in good health, with all mysterious rashes now gone.  There are no indications of haircuts or court appearances in the near future, but we will keep you posted.

Word of the day: ubiquitous
Meaning: seemingly being everywhere, especially at the same time

Example sentence 1: Steve seriously considered a restraining order against his ubiquitous stalker, Hillary Clinton.

Example sentence 2: Steve knew he would have to be extra careful with his level of alcohol consumption; chlamydia was ubiquitous on this Pacific island.

Remember to sign up for free SPLASH alerts, straight to your smart telephone!

--Jacob

Editor's Addendum

The emails distributing this newsletter originally claimed an authorship date of 2014-04-22, but actually the authorship date was 2014-05-07.  Jacob just wanted to send out a second biweekly newsletter and did not want to wait an entire biweek after the first one, so Jacob fabricated a newsletter from the previous biweek.  Therefore the self-reported order of Sam Soundar biweekly newsletters is not the actual chronological order.

Sam Soundar Biweekly Newsletter #1, Spring Cleaning Edition

Reading Note


The following section contains the email chain surrounding issue #1 of the SSBN.  The emails are ordered oldest first, so you can just start at the top and read all the way to the bottom.

Email Chain


From: Jacob Egner
Sent: 2014-05-06 Tuesday, 11:09
Subject: Sam Soundar biweekly newsletter, 2014-05-06, spring cleaning edition

Beloved Subscribers:

Sam Soundar is currently in training, and will be all week.

Word of the day: indigent
Meaning: suffering from extreme poverty. 
Example sentence: Steve’s eyes grew wide as he saw the indigent woman wiggle free several teeth from her gums.

Remember to sign up for free SPLASH alerts, straight to your smart telephone!

--Jacob

Sam Soundar Biweekly Newsletter (SSBN), Index and Explanation

Index of SSBN Materials


  • Issue 1, 2014-05-06, Spring Cleaning Edition
  • Issue 2, 2014-05-07, Nautical Edition
  • Issue 3, 2014-05-28, Bitter Resentment Edition
  • Issue 4, 2017-05-26, Candy Coated Edition
  • Issue 5, 2017-11-14, Honest Mistake Edition
  • Issue 6, 2017-12-01, Social Harmony Edition 
  • Issue 7, 2018-03-07, Truly Desperate Effort Edition
  • Issue 8, 2018-07-01, Use Scrollwheel To Zoom Edition

2017-03-13

Bonds and the Upsides/Downsides of Interest Rate Changes

Scope Of This Post

One discussion I keep having with people centers around the hypothetical scenario of a person buying bonds and then interest rates change.  In particular, people seem to be worried about buying bonds and then interest rates increase (especially an unexpected increase since expected increases are supposedly already priced into bonds).

My assertion is that although an investor would have benefited from delaying purchase of bonds until after the (unexpected) increase in interest rates, an investor holding pre-existing bonds is not necessarily worse off when interest rates increase.

For most of my post, I will be talking about interest rates changing but inflation staying constant.  Also, the characters in my stories like to buy 3-year bonds and only 3-year bonds.  So, when my story involves "interest rates changing from 5% to 6.9%", I'm specifically talking about the interest rates for 3-year bonds only.  I know the world has more than 3-year bonds, but I'm keeping my stories short and simple.

I will also ignore callable bonds, TIPS, taxes, convexity, and default risk; I believe those concepts do not change the conclusions about the benefits/harms of interest rate changes on bond holders.

I welcome comments and especially corrections to the assertions I make in this post.

2016-12-16

Password Manager Versus the Alternatives

Scope of this Post

This post will show how using a password manager compares in security and convenience to the other major ways of managing account credentials: the password manager is the winner in both categories.  This post will also cover some common objections to using password managers.

For some background, there is my previous post on account security risks.

The bottom line is:
  • The case for password managers is strong.  Security experts use and recommend them.  The biggest choice is which password manager to use, whether to use browser integration, and whether you want to use a physically secure notebook for some of your accounts.

Note: by "password manager", I mean a standalone program dedicated to managing account credentials (username, password) and stores them in encrypted form, protected by a master password.  Web browser password managers will be addressed in their own section.

Also, I'd like to recommend 2FA for all accounts you have that are of even mild value. The security benefits are large and the inconvenience is small, regardless of whether you choose to use a password manager.

Author's Note: TODO, weave in https://medium.com/@stuartschechter/before-you-use-a-password-manager-9f5949ccf168

2016-12-07

Account Security Risks and Reasons to Use a Password Manager and 2FA

Scope Of This Post and Some Basic Recommendations

I consider switching to using a password manager to be one of my best life decisions in terms of costs and benefits.  The security and convenience benefits are immense, and the costs (setup effort) are small.  Yes, using a password manager made managing and logging in to my accounts much easier, faster, and less stressful, but this post will focus on security issues.  My thanks to Troy Hunt for influencing me to make the plunge.

Without a password manager, it borders on impossible for a human to do passwords correctly.  By "do passwords correctly", I mean having strong, unique passwords for all of your accounts.  To illustrate why it is good to have strong, unique passwords, I will go over several of the account security risks most humans face, with special emphasis on passwords.  Maybe this will directly persuade some people to start using a password manager, but also it will establish some background for another post that will discuss why password managers are big security improvement over the alternatives and are overall the best choice.

For generating strong passwords (with the goal of surviving offline attacks), I recommend:
  • For passwords you want to remember, such as your Google password and master password: choose 6 random words from the Diceware word list (pdf).
  • For passwords managed by your password manager (you don't have to remember them and it's very rare to actually type them): have your password manager randomly generate at least 16 random lower case letters, upper case letters, and digits.

Also, I highly recommend enabling 2FA on all of your accounts of even mild worth.  A very common form of 2FA is that when logging in from an unrecognized device, the login attempt will also require a verification code sent to the account's associated email or phone.  This additional layer of defense may protect you even when bad people know your password, and 2FA is only a minor and rare inconvenience.

2016-12-04

Steps to Set Up KeePass

Scope of this Post

The following instructions are for how to set up the KeePass password manager on your Windows PCs, iPhones, and Android devices.  This post also covers the one-time process of creating a password database and putting it in Google Drive.

If you are hoping to use KeePass on Linux or MacOS, I haven't done it myself, but you might have success using KeePassXC or one of the KeePass packages that has made it into Mac OS X and several Linux distribution software repositories.  See this page for download options.  Also, there's the option of running KeePass under Mono on your MacOSX/Linux system.

If you use the following steps, you'll be able to access your always-up-to-date password database from all of your devices that you've installed KeePass on.

This post assumes you are comfortable using KeePass Plugins and also browser plugins which make using KeePass extremely convenient.  Future posts will cover if you want to be paranoid and trust only KeePass itself and Google.

The most notable links, folder locations, and component names are bolded.

Note that the version of KeePass we'll be using is KeePass2, so don't be afraid when folders or apps talk about KeePass2.